New Nomogram Predicts Death, Recurrence Risk in Papillary Thyroid Cancer
Nomogram can predict 10-year disease-specific death and recurrence.
(HealthDay News) — A new nomogram has excellent discriminatory ability and accuracy in predicting 10-year disease-specific death and recurrence for papillary thyroid carcinoma, according to a study published in Head & Neck.
Brian H.H. Lang, from the University of Hong Kong, and colleagues developed and validated a nomogram to provide individualized prognosis (death and recurrence) for papillary thyroid carcinoma.
Results showed the nomogram had excellent discrimination in predicting 10-year disease-specific death and recurrence (0.984 and 0.743, respectively). One-hundred percent of the patients surviving at 10 years had a score <30, and those who died within 10 years had a score ≥30.
Almost all the patients (91.04%) were disease-free within 10 years with a score of <17.
"Using a competing-risk model, a nomogram was created with excellent discriminatory ability and accuracy in predicting 10-year disease-specific death and recurrence for [papillary thyroid carcinoma]," the researchers wrote. "Our results implied its potential for wider use in other populations."